Friday, November 20, 2009

Wondering which direction are interest rates likely to move in the next year?

Guy Cecala, CEO of Inside Mortgage Finance believes:
The Federal Reserve launched a program to buy $1.45 trillion of mortgage securities this year, and it has helped to keep interest rates at—or near—historically low levels. But the money should be used up by the first quarter of next year. Interest rates are then likely to rise, possibly increasing to a full percentage point by the end of the year.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard believes:
Past experience suggests policy makers may not start to raise interest rates until early 2012, while concern borrowing costs have stayed “too low for too long” may prompt an earlier move.
There are several different factors that drive the movement of interest rates. Activity in the purchase/sell of 10 year Treasury Bond, economic news such as unemployment, what the Federal Reserve Bank decides to do with the Fed Fund rate, and many other factors.

Which direction do you think mortgage rate will move?

- Linda Le, Loan Officer, Pacific Access Mortgage, 808-561-5943

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